Weather forecasting and monitoring technologies play a crucial role in preparing for and mitigating dangerous weather phenomena, impacting various sectors. Their significance has grown amidst the risks posed by climate change. However, current climate and weather forecasting models often struggle to predict the onset and evolution of convective storms on land, which can lead to destructive weather events. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the UPDRAFT project aims to develop a new theoretical framework. This framework will incorporate previously overlooked mechanisms responsible for initiating convective storms, thereby enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of weather predictions.
The project runs from August 2025 to August 2027.
The project is hosted by the Department of Meteorology at the University of Reading. Founded in 1965, the department is one of the largest meteorology departments in the world.
The research objectives of the projects are to:
O1) Understand the mechanisms by which local moisture anomalies develop from pre-existing convection;
O2) Derive a time-dependent model for convective clouds and updrafts with explicit updraft-cloud interaction;
O3) Design and test a toy model for updraft-cloud interaction that is able to model the shallow-to-deep transition, and develop and test the new parameterization.
The project is conducted by Dr. Cristian Vraciu under the supervision of Prof. Robert Plant at the University of Reading. Cristian obtained a PhD in Physics at the University of Bucharest in 2024, and he previously worked as a research assistant at the Romanian National Institute of Physics and Nuclear Engineering and as a junior lecturer at the University of Bucharest.